New_Mexico_Logo

Cincinnati vs New Mexico Preview

If you were waiting until the end of football season to invest yourself in Cincinnati basketball, you picked the right weekend to pay attention. Cincinnati goes on the road for their biggest test of the season to date, taking on the New Mexico Lobos in the Pit. New Mexico has dropped a game this season to 21st ranked UMass. This was a very competitive game that Cincinnati dropped last season. It would be sweet revenge to get one back at one of the toughest places in America to play. This one should be a ton of fun.

Spread: New Mexico -4.5

Game Time: 4:05 pm

TV: CBS Sports Network. Not CBS.

Series: New Mexico 1-0

Last Meeting: New Mexico 55-54, December 27, 2012.

Record: 7-0

Coach: Mick Cronin 142-100 (211-124)

Minutes

  1. Sean Kilpatrick 28.6
  2. Titus Rubles 25
  3. Justin Jackson 23.1
  4. Shaquille Thomas 22.1
  5. Jermaine Sanders 19.4

Points

  1. Sean Kilpatrick 19.7
  2. Titus Rubles 11.1
  3. Justin Jackson 10.7
  4. Ge'Lawn Guyn 7.3
  5. Troy Caupain 7

Field Goals Made

  1. Sean Kilpatrick 45
  2. Justin Jackson 33
  3. Titus Rubles 26
  4. Shaquille Thomas 19
  5. Ge'Lawn Guyn 17

Field Goals Attempted

  1. Sean Kilpatrick 84
  2. Justin Jackson 64
  3. Titus Rubles 52
  4. Shaquille Thomas 40
  5. Ge'Lawn Guyn 38

Free Throws Made

  1. Titus Rubles 26
  2. Sean Kilpatrick 25
  3. Troy Caupain 24
  4. Ge'Lawn Guyn 10
  5. Justin Jackson 9
  6. Shaquille Thomas 9

Free Throws Attempted

  1. Titus Rubles 37
  2. Sean Kilpatrick 29
  3. Troy Caupain 24
  4. Justin Jackson 19
  5. Ge'Lawn Guyn 17

3 Pointers Made

  1. Sean Kilpatrick 23
  2. Ge'Lawn Guyn 7
  3. Jermaine Sanders 6
  4. Troy Caupain 3
  5. Shaquille Thomas 1
  6. Kevin Johnson 1

3 Pointers Attempted

  1. Sean Kilpatrick 47
  2. Ge'Lawn Guyn 19
  3. Jermaine Sanders 18
  4. Kevin Johnson 15
  5. Troy Caupain 8

Rebounds – total

  1. Justin Jackson 47
  2. Titus Rubles 44
  3. Jermaine Lawrence 30
  4. Sean Kilpatrick 27
  5. Jermaine Sanders 25

Rebounds – offensive

  1. Justin Jackson 22
  2. Titus Rubles 18
  3. Jermaine Sanders 13
  4. Jermaine Lawrence 11
  5. Shaquille Thomas 11

Assists

  1. Sean Kilpatrick 23
  2. Troy Caupain 15
  3. Shaquille Thomas 11
  4. Justin Jackson 10
  5. Titus Rubles 9
  6. Ge'Lawn Guyn 9

Turnovers

  1. Jermaine Lawrence 13
  2. Titus Rubles 12
  3. Justin Jackson 12
  4. Sean Kilpatrick 10
  5. Troy Caupain 9
  6. Shaquille Thomas 8

Steals

  1. Titus Rubles 13
  2. Sean Kilpatrick 12
  3. Justin Jackson 10
  4. Shaquille Thomas 10
  5. Troy Caupain 7

Blocks

  1. Justin Jackson 23
  2. Jermaine Lawrence 6
  3. Titus Rubles 5
  4. David Nyarsuk 3
  5. Shaquille Thomas 2

Record: 6-1

Coach: Craig Neil 6-1

Minutes

  1. Kendall Williams 34.7
  2. Alex Kirk 33.3
  3. Hugh Greenwood 30.3
  4. Cameron Bairstow 28.4
  5. Cleveland Thomas 21.3

Points

  1. Kendall Williams 20.4
  2. Alex Kirk 19.1
  3. Cameron Bairstow 19.1
  4. Cullen Neal 7.3
  5. Cleveland Thomas 5.7

Field Goals Made

  1. Alex Kirk 50
  2. Cameron Bairstow 47
  3. Kendall Williams 35
  4. Hugh Greenwood 14
  5. Cullen Neal 13
  6. Cleveland Thomas 13

Field Goals Attempted

  1. Alex Kirk 101
  2. Cameron Bairstow 84
  3. Kendall Williams 70
  4. Cullen Neal 40
  5. Hugh Greenwood 38

Free Throws Made

  1. Kendall Williams 60
  2. Cameron Bairstow 40
  3. Alex Kirk 27
  4. Cullen Neal 17
  5. Cleveland Thomas 7

Free Throws Attempted

  1. Kendall Williams 67
  2. Cameron Bairstow 53
  3. Alex Kirk 40
  4. Cullen Neal 20
  5. Cleveland Thomas 12

3 Pointers Made

  1. Kendall Williams 13
  2. Cullen Neal 8
  3. Alex Kirk 7
  4. Hugh Greenwood 7
  5. Cleveland Thomas 7

3 Pointers Attempted

  1. Kendall Williams 27
  2. Hugh Greenwood 27
  3. Alex Kirk 24
  4. Cullen Neal 21
  5. Cleveland Thomas 17

Rebounds – total

  1. Alex Kirk 77
  2. Cameron Bairstow 44
  3. Hugh Greenwood 38
  4. Cleveland Thomas 28
  5. Kendall Williams 22

Rebounds – offensive

  1. Alex Kirk 26
  2. Cameron Bairstow 16
  3. Cleveland Thomas 12
  4. Hugh Greenwood 11
  5. Kendall Williams 7

Assists

  1. Kendall Williams 42
  2. Hugh Greenwood 24
  3. Cameron Bairstow 19
  4. Cullen Neal 14
  5. Cleveland Thomas 7

Turnovers

  1. Cullen Neal 23
  2. Kendall Williams 18
  3. Cameron Bairstow 13
  4. Alex Kirk 10
  5. Hugh Greenwood 6

Steals

  1. Kendall Williams 9
  2. Cameron Bairstow 5
  3. Hugh Greenwood 5
  4. Deshawn Delaney 4
  5. Cullen Neal 3
  6. Cleveland Thomas 3

Blocks

  1. Alex Kirk 26
  2. Cameron Bairstow 9
  3. Nick Banyard 4
  4. Deshawn Delaney 4
  5. Arthur Edwards 3
  6. Obij Aget 3

PAW POINTS

Sean Kilpatrick needs 4 points to move into 10th all time in scoring. He has 1,582. He's 3 behind Lloyd Batts, 2 behind Darnell Burton. 17 points put him past Jack Tywman for 9th all time. 18 points would make him the 9th 1,600 in the history of Cincinnati basketball.

Kilpatrick and Alex Kirk played on team USA in the World University Games this summer.

Kendall Williams was the preseason Player of the Year for the Mountain West. You can see why.

Cincinnati has held 14 straight opponents under 70 points.

New Mexico takes pretty good care of the ball with a 14.2% turnover rate, 83rd in the country. UC has turned teams over at the 3rd highest rate, 23.3%. It's been a huge part of the Bearcat defense. How New Mexico handles the pressure will be interesting.

On the flip side, Cincinnati is in the top 50 in lowest turnover percentage and New Mexico is one of the worst teams at forcing them. That shouldn't be a major issue for the Cats.

Both teams are in the top 40 in offensive rebound percentage. UC is 2nd at 45.4%, New Mexico is 38th at 36.7%. The Lobos have a major advantage on the defensive glass with a 73.5% rate while UC sits at 68%.

Keeping the Lobos, especially Kirk, off the glass is a huge concern. UC hasn't rebounded that well against rather poor competition. USC Upstate had their runs while cleaning up the glass.

An interesting thing to note is that UMass had 18 offensive rebounds in their win over New Mexico. You can hit the glass against this team.

New Mexico has had a trouble with the 3 ball defensively. Their opponents have averaged 8-24, 33%. Those are 24 points a game from deep though. New Mexico forces teams out of the paint very well with their size. You can't just settle. Finding holes and open shots is the key with bombing a lot. It's the difference between the hot shooting Tuesday and what we saw from UC last year.

This seems like a game where foul shooting could bite Cincinnati in the ass. The Cats have hit 70.7% from the line this year, but they have some guys that make you nervous in big spots. Getting to the line is a key.

New Mexico gets to the line a lot. They are 10th in free throws made per game at 23 and 13th in FTA with 31.3. They hit 74%, which is pretty good. As you can see, teams have not been able to stick Kendall Williams very well. He's made them pay.

This game boils down to a couple of things.

Justin Jackson and Titus Rubles staying out of foul trouble

Alex Kirk had 15-7 against UC a year ago. He's been awesome this year, averaging 19-11. UC is really short up front. The reserves, Big Dave and Jermaine Lawrence, have been extremely foul prone in short periods of time. When you add in the fact Jackson and Rubles are needed offensively, that's a huge drop off one or both is on the bench.

Defending Kendall Williams

Thomas did a great job the other night. I think he'll draw a lot of Williams to save on Kilpatrick's legs. It's a big chance for Shaquille. Williams was the leading scorer for New Mexico last year.

Someone easing the burden on Sean Kilpatrick

UC needs Guyn, Caupain, Thomas, Rubles, Jackson, someone to step up as the second scorer. New Mexico is going to throw the kitchen sink at SK. He was hassled into 5-22 shooting last year. Some of that was by Tony Snell, it's still 5-22 though. The pressure is going to be on him to do it all. 

Out of the guys who played last year, Thomas led the way with 5 points on 2-5 shooting. Rubles was 1-6, Sanders was 0-1, Jackson was 0-6 and Guyn played 4 minutes. All of them are in much bigger roles where they have to perform. This is one the questions of the season. We'll get an answer for sure.

I'm going to pick New Mexico to win for a couple of reasons. 1, this is a relatively young team going on the road against a damn good team in a crazy place to play. 2, that's a really good reason. 3, I have to see it from this team before I believe they can go on the road and win games like this.

I think that UC will give it their all. I wouldn't be surprised if they pulled it. This one is going to be won in the last 4 minutes. I'm going with the experience.

New Mexico 61 Cincinnati 59

Scott

About Scott

I write Bearcats Blog and also on Run the Floor.

Cincinnati vs New Mexico Preview

Tonight at 9 on ESPN2, the 8th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats play host to the dangerous New Mexico Lobos. New Mexico was a top 25 team this time a week ago, but a tough loss on Saturday knocked them out of the top 25. The Lobos haven't been quite up to par with where they were last year. They are 12-1, but they don't have the type of quality performances they showed last season. That's understandable. New Mexico does have a win over Connecticut at a tournament in the Virgin Islands. 

This is one of the biggest non-conference home games in ages. It's definitely the best non-Xavier team that has come into the Shoe since the Derrick Rose-led Memphis team in 2008. I wish the game was not 2 days after Christmas and the same night as the Belk Bowl, but hopefully the football Bearcats will have that one well in hand so we can enjoy Cincinnati basketball in peace. I have a feeling 5/3 Arena is going to be rocking. I can't wait. 

Record: 12-0

Rank: 8/8

Spread: Cincinnati by 6.5

Minutes

  • Sean Kilpatrick 31
  • Cashmere Wright 26.6
  • JaQuon Parker 25.7
  • Titus Rubles 19.9
  • Justin Jackson 19.9

Points

  • Sean Kilpatrick 19.1
  • Cashmere Wright 14.1
  • JaQuon Parker 11.6
  • Titus Rubles 7.3
  • Cheikh Mbodj 5.2

Field Goal %

  • David Nyarsuk 59.5
  • Cheikh Mbodj 53.5
  • Sean Kilpatrick 47.1
  • Justin Jackson 46.6
  • Cashmere Wright 45.4

Free Throw % (min 10 attempts)

  • Cashmere Wright 74.1
  • Sean Kilpatrick 68.5
  • Titus Rubles 65.6
  • Cheikh Mbodj 60.7
  • David Nyarsuk / Shaq Thomas 60

3 Pointers Made (3 point %)

  • Cashmere Wright 32 (46.4)
  • Sean Kilpatrick 29 (35.8)
  • JaQuon Parker 15 (41.7)
  • Ge'Lawn Guyn 4 (26.7)
  • Jermaine Sanders 3 (37.5)

Rebounding

  • Titus Rubles 6.2
  • Sean Kilpatrick 6.1
  • Justin Jackson 5.7
  • Cheikh Mbodj 4.8
  • JaQuon Parker 4.5

Assists

  • Cashmere Wright 42
  • Titus Rubles 28
  • Sean Kilpatrick 27
  • Justin Jackson 23
  • JaQuon Parker 21

Turnovers 

  • Sean Kilpatrick 28
  • Cashmere Wright 25
  • Titus Rubles 24
  • Justin Jackson 24
  • David Nyarsuk 14

Steals 

  • Cashmere Wright 27
  • Sean Kilpatrick 22
  • Titus Rubles 17
  • Justin Jackson 17
  • JaQuon Parker 12

Blocks

  • Cheikh Mbodj 30
  • David Nyarsuk 18
  • Justin Jackson 17
  • Kelvin Gaines 10
  • Titus Rubles 4

Record: 12-1

Road/Neutral: 5-0

Minutes

  • Kendall Williams 34.5
  • Tony Snell 29.1
  • Hugh Greenwood 27.1
  • Alex Kirk 26.5
  • Chad Adams 22.3

Points

  • Kendall Williams 14.8
  • Tony Snell 11.6
  • Alex Kirk 10.9
  • Hugh Greenwood 8.4
  • Cameron Bairstow 8.1

Field Goal %

  • Chad Adams 53.5
  • Alex Kirk 49
  • Cameron Bairstow 44
  • Hugh Greenwood 42
  • Kendall Williams 41.3

Free Throw %

  • Chad Adams 89
  • Tony Snell 87
  • Kendall Williams 83
  • Cameron Bairstow 80.6
  • Alex Kirk 72.2

3 Pointers Made (3 pt %)

  • Tony Snell 20 (35.7)
  • Kendall Williams 16 (32.7)
  • Hugh Greenwood 15 (33.3)
  • Demetrius Walker 14 (40)
  • Chad Adams 10 (55.6)

Rebounding 

  • Alex Kirk 7.4
  • Hugh Greenwood 5.3
  • Cameron Bairstow 5
  • Chad Adams 4.1
  • Kendall Williams 3.7

Assists

  • Kendall Williams 65
  • Tony Snell 42
  • Hugh Greenwood 24
  • Cleveland Thomas 11
  • Jamal Fenton 11

Turnovers

  • Tony Snell 27
  • Kendall Williams 26
  • Demetrius Walker 23
  • Alex Kirk 15
  • Hugh Greenwood 15

Steals

  • Kendall Williams 17
  • Hugh Greenwood 14
  • Jamal Fenton 12
  • Cameron Bairstow 9
  • Tony Snell / Demetrius Walker 8

Blocks

  • Alex Kirk 16
  • Hugh Greenwood 11
  • Cameron Bairstow 8
  • Tony Snell 7

Paw Points

New Mexico plays a little slower than Cincinnati does. Not to the same slow levels as Xavier and Wright State, don't freak out. UNM plays at 67 possessions compared to nearly 73 for Cincinnati. We should be able to see a lot more up and down action. 

New Mexico isn't as efficient on either end as the Bearcats. New Mexico is averaging 1.06 points per possession on offense and give up 0.9 on defense. UC scores 1.1 and gives up 0.79. 

The Lobos are not a good shooting team. They are hitting 42% from the field. Cincinnati has the second best field goal percentage defense in the nation. 

Where New Mexico shines is at the free throw line. The Lobos score 29.6% of their points at the foul stripe. That's the highest percentage in the country. They are the 20th best team in terms of percentages at 75.8%. You saw how their top 5 free throw guys shoot. Keeping New Mexico off the line is huge. Cincinnati has a major problem with the big men staying on the court. They have to be sharp. We can't expect another team to completely self combust at the line like Xavier did. 

One thing to watch are the 3 pointers. The Lobos give up over 20 attempts a game. That's part of what bit them in the ass against South Dakota State. SDSU hit 9 of 25 from deep. Cincinnati definitely has that ability to put down a large number of 3s. The 3 point shots are going to fly from Cincinnati's end. 

One thing that needs to happen, is that the Bearcats need to penetrate to open things up. When Sean Kilpatrick has gone to the rim this season, he's been damn near impossible to guard. He could be in for a big night if he did that. Same with JaQuon Parker. We just saw JaQuon take a game over on Saturday. New Mexico has a solid defense, but UC has played one just about the same in Alabama. 

The Lobos won't hurt you on the offensive glass. They are pulling down 31.9% of the offensive rebounds. They are one of the better teams in the nation on the defensive glass. They get over 73% of the available defensive rebounds. 

Kendall Williams gets everyone involved and they don't turn the ball over much. New Mexico assists on 65% of their made field goals, 13th highest percentage in the nation. UC averages more assists per game, but they assist on just 52% of their made field goals. 

Show up. Be loud. Enjoy Cincinnati night on the ESPN family of networks. 

Cincinnati 72 New Mexico 68

Scott

About Scott

I write Bearcats Blog and also on Run the Floor.

Quantcast